Inexpensive fiber-optic drones are challenging Israel’s high-tech defenses, shifting the military balance in the Middle East.

A recent video showing an explosive-laden drone striking an Israeli Iron Dome battery couldn’t have been more symbolic: Israel’s famous air-defense system, which cost billions of euros, looked powerless against a small aircraft that cost a few hundred euros.

While the video’s authenticity has not yet been verified, experts believe it is genuine.

The footage was published about a week ago by Hezbollah, a Lebanon-based pro-Iranian militia, which Germany, the US and several Sunni Arab states have classified as a terrorist organization.

The drone strike, if genuine, would mark propaganda victory for Hezbollah and reveal a significant vulnerability in Israel’s military capabilities.

  • sen@lemmy.zip
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    3 hours ago

    Oh no, do you hear that Israel? The faint buzzing off in the distance? That’s the sound consequences make when they’re getting closer.

    • iocase@lemmy.zip
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      1 hour ago

      Oh my god I get to watch a smiting with my own eyes. The cycle is nearly complete!

      1. God has rules

      2. God’s rules have loopholes

      3. God gets angry

      4. Get smote, nerd!

      5. Ok, new rules!

      6. Return to step 1.

      They will literally do it until the heat death of the universe or until they’re wiped out.

      • Echo Dot@feddit.uk
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        15 minutes ago

        That’s the problem with religion.

        In theory it’s quite good most religions tell you to be nice and kind to each other, the problem is if you break those rules nothing actually happens to you, no God comes down from the heavens and strikes you down with righteous lightning. In fact not only does nothing happen to you but the establishment set up to promote the religion now protects you from the consequences of you breaking the religions own rules.

        Might as well just become an investment banker, at least they don’t pretend to have rules.

  • disorderly@lemmy.world
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    2 hours ago

    I’ve been wondering about this for a while, but what does it cost to maintain the iron dome when your batteries are depleted and the missiles are on backorder? It’s not like literally anyone else is fielding this equipment, so what happens when the only customer suddenly needs a tall order every week?

    Under normal economic conditions, a tamir missile costs about $80k, and a shahed drone costs about $30k (and dropping). These are not normal conditions, and I expect that Israel is going to have spotty coverage in the coming years.

    The worst part is that I’m sure Netanyahu and his ilk have priced all this in and agreed that the casualties and long-term dependence on foreign funding and ordnance is a fair trade for the additional territory. I really hope the Israeli people disagree.

    • ravenaspiring@sh.itjust.works
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      1 hour ago

      I think that’s the point when they take it to the ‘negotiating table’ and try to keep what they’ve taken.

      Having said that Israel has a large multilayered antiair defense that isn’t just iron dome. They have SPYDER, helps with the APKWS, and it’s own CIWS systems, plus they are rushing SMASH Hopper (AI driven improvised gun mount). Which isn’t to say your point is wrong, they will run out.

      Also these last several years has turn people and their political leaders off Israel, which I mention as it just compounds the economics of this. Israel needs a functioning economy and foreign aid to sustain it, but has been turning off it’s partners. Although yes, the US seems to be an exception in this, mostly from a leader stand point.

  • Photonic@lemmy.world
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    10 hours ago

    How arrogant the Israeli leadership was to think it couldn’t happen to them when it’s been happening on the Ukrainian battlefield for a few years now. With Iranian-made drones no less.

    • mrdown@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      5 hours ago

      After getting away with genocide in Gaza and the assadination of Nassrallah, they got arrogant and thought Hizbollah was not for

    • Grandwolf319@sh.itjust.works
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      7 hours ago

      Seriously, given how interconnected all these conflicts are, I’m convinced we are in WWIII,

      No one said it has to have more deaths than the last one to be considered a world war

        • sepi@piefed.social
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          6 hours ago

          2.6 million russian kia, more wounded - Russian economists in russian economic forums in public made a claim of 600k dead russians per year of war

          • Mihies@programming.dev
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            2 hours ago

            That’s exaggerated. While real numbers are not known, Ukraine reports around 1,000 casualties per day but only around third or less of that are dead, others are injured.

            • Fizz@lemmy.nz
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              3 hours ago

              There havent been many deaths in those conflicts(comparatively). I think it only adds an extra 85k

              But you can add the Africa conflicts in and Yemen and that boosts it up quite significantly.

              • Viking_Hippie@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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                1 hour ago

                There havent been many deaths in those conflicts(comparatively). I think it only adds an extra 85k

                Putting aside (unintentionally?) calling the Palestinian genocide a “conflict”, the last reliable death count for Gaza alone was already 186k two years ago and the rate of extermination has only INCREASED since then.

                85k for Gaza, West Bank, Israel, Iran, Lebanon, and other countries in the region combined is a RIDICULOUS undercount.

  • schipelblorp@sh.itjust.works
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    9 hours ago

    The footage was published about a week ago by Hezbollah, a Lebanon-based pro-Iranian militia, which Germany, the US and several Sunni Arab states have classified as a terrorist organization.

    And where’s the parenthetical comma for Israel?

    Israel, the arpartheid Jewish ethnostate, has been globally condemned for its violation of human rights and massive bombings with civilian casualties, is currently invading Lebannon in an effort to expand its territory.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      9 hours ago

      The difference is Hezbollah isn’t a country…

      If the conflict was a couple rational countries, then making your distinction makes sense. But Iran and America’s governments are just as bad as Israel’s.

      If you give a parenthetical for Israel you have to do it for America and Iran.

      Hezbollah is the odd one out, because they don’t have soverign soil to be attacked, a pretty important difference

      • schipelblorp@sh.itjust.works
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        8 hours ago

        If your goal is informing your readers, the fact that Israel is invading Lebannon is easily as important as a comically detailed explanation of how terroristy Hezbollah is.

        If your goal is sanctioning violence done by state actors–a common feature of corporate media–you´d do what they did here.

        • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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          8 hours ago

          the fact that Israel is invading Lebannon

          Is because Hezbollah is based there…

          I’m defending Israel, this is a (not even rare) situation where every government (and non state militant organization) is a piece of shit their citizens would be better off without.

          That shouldn’t be hard to understand, but there’s a weird amount of pro-Iran accounts the last couple months, and they just won’t understand it

          • Keeponstalin@lemmy.world
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            6 hours ago

            Equating a settler colonialist fascist state with a resistance group born out of resisting that ethnic cleansing is actually insane

          • schipelblorp@sh.itjust.works
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            8 hours ago

            I´m talking about the difference between journalism and propaganda; you don´t think it’s a little weird to come away from an article like this knowing Hezabollah is a terrorist organization according to Germany, the US, and several Sunni Arab states, but not that their country is currently being invaded with tanks?

            • backalleycoyote@lemmy.today
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              6 hours ago

              No, because the article doesn’t acknowledge the state based designation placed upon their organization by those countries. You personally know it exists, but the writer doesn’t give the nations that imposed it that benefit of adding a reference to their decree.

              Existence of an organization within a nation does not mean it is aligned with the state or subject to it unless that organization decides to align it’s objectives with the state, which currently Hezbollah is in it’s primary territory while also providing resources and support to likeminded allies beyond.

              Most of those countries that throw around “terrorist” designations have groups on their own soil that they drop that title on. Depending on how the writer wanted to spin it they would either push the state narrative and call them “terrorists”, or acknowledge what groups often call themselves, “activists” or “militia” and reference what territory they are operating out of.

            • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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              7 hours ago

              but not that their country

              Non state organizations do not have their own country’s…

              Hezbollah is based in Lebanon and Lebanon is being invaded, that is not the same as Hezbollah is being invaded.

              Like, you’re mad at an explanation in the article but you obviously need the explanation…

            • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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              6 hours ago

              https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Lebanese_general_election

              Tldr:

              They have 15 seats when 65 is needed for a majority.

              Is it weird that a political party is openly aligned with a militant non state organization?

              Yep.

              But it still doesn’t mean Hezbollah is being invaded, or that they’re Lebanon’s government.

              Lebanon is being invaded, and a large amount of them never signed up for this shit.

              • Akh@lemmy.world
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                5 hours ago

                Right, none of them did, that is why Israel is engaging in war crimes.

  • itsjustachairmary@lemmy.world
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    9 hours ago

    I did see footage of a drone attacking an Iron Dome site. Looked legit for what it’s worth. Literally flew right up to it. Unfortunately no footage of the aftermath from what I saw. Must have been quite the explosion though. Anyway, this is hopeful news. Let’s hope they keep this up and force Israel to back the fuck off.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      9 hours ago

      Literally flew right up to it

      Because you don’t see the 99.99% that were stopped at the defenses, that’s why a “swarm attack” would be so devastating.

      It’s basically the attack scene from Zion in The Matrix. A steady flow of (relatively) inexpensive attack drones. Most will fail, for a very very long time nothing gets thru. But eventually one slips thru or defenses need to reload, but one slips thru and hits something.

      If it hits something important, it’s now easier for every single one to get thru.

      This was likely just proof of concept.

      Send a wave out, aim at something random, and don’t stop till one gets thru. That is invaluable Intel for when/where to aim a swarm attack. They don’t need to breach everywhere, just one small section bearing insurmountable odds.

      It would turn Iran into a super power on the world stage

    • ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works
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      9 hours ago

      Let’s hope they keep this up and force Israel to back the fuck off.

      I don’t see the same connection here that you do. A failure of Israel’s defensive weapons would require them to go on the offensive. The status quo from before the October 7 attacks was tolerable to Israel because they could shoot down incoming threats but if they no longer can, they must neutralize the ability of their enemies to launch those threats.

      • Viking_Hippie@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        2 hours ago

        A failure of Israel’s defensive weapons would require them to go on the offensive.

        According to themselves, a day ending in y would require them to go on the offensive.

        This is all a conflict of choice for them and the US and, if damage to the dome has any effect on them (which it probably won’t, since they’re so far gone down the colonialism genocide spiral), it would be to make them more cautious due to their own people being more vulnerable to consequences of their state terrorism.

      • NoForwadSlashS@piefed.social
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        8 hours ago

        It’s impressive that it’s not already considered being “on the offensive” to invade and bomb multiple neighbouring countries, as well as actions like boarding boats in international waters and imprisoning the occupants.

        • ArbitraryValue@sh.itjust.works
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          6 hours ago

          I didn’t say that Israel is not on the offensive right now - it is. My point is that if the Iron Dome system is indeed compromised, that’s going to put pressure on Israel to stay on the offensive rather than to back down.

  • NuXCOM_90Percent@lemmy.zip
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    9 hours ago

    Never going to not smirk at the israelis getting an L.

    But be wary of media coverage of these kinds of drones. If you listen to The News, they are the greatest paradigm shift ever and you should totally give the military industrial complex even more trillions of dollars to find a solution!

    The reality is that they are a lot closer to mortars than not. Comparatively short range and low payload weapons that are ridiculously cheap. Against an entrenched position with minimal defenses, they are devastating. But, ironically, most of the same defenses against mortars apply here too. They just tend to be ridiculously effective in Ukraine due to a mix of propaganda and how incredibly undisciplined russian conscripts are (see also: the idiots falling off of aircraft carriers in the us military). And… we aren’t THAT far off of basically connecting small arms, sensors, and simple motors up to shoot drones out of the sky in areas where we don’t care about collateral damage from falling bullets.

    Don’t get me wrong. Cheap drones have very much changed the battlefield. But… closer to “affordable” night vision gear equalizing things rather than the initial advent of (good) night vision gear basically turning rich (read: US) militaries into invisible killing machines.

  • SeeMarkFly@lemmy.ml
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    9 hours ago

    It’s a new kind of war when one of your best defences is a jar of pickles.