The only absolute deadline is the end of this Congress in early January of 2025. You have to figure, however, that a leaderless House Republican team would not fare well in the 2024 elections.
I would not make that assumption. Republicans are doing exactly what their base, fueled by Right-wing media, want them to: absolutely nothing. The government that governs best governs least!
After a few months with no Speaker (including a shutdown), they will finally be able to drown the Federal Government in their bathtub. While they may lose their majority in the event of a prolonged shutdown, I doubt they lose more than 10 or 15 seats total.
The GOP lost its majority (of votes/voters of the general populace) a long time ago. The only reason they have power right now is due to gerrymandering and very specific rules that work in their favor.
I would not make that assumption. Republicans are doing exactly what their base, fueled by Right-wing media, want them to: absolutely nothing. The government that governs best governs least!
After a few months with no Speaker (including a shutdown), they will finally be able to drown the Federal Government in their bathtub. While they may lose their majority in the event of a prolonged shutdown, I doubt they lose more than 10 or 15 seats total.
That 10 or 15 seats is more than enough to give a majority to democrats.
Then you have to worry about the senate becoming less contested, as well, and what that’s going to do to the Biden/trump rematch.
The GOP lost its majority (of votes/voters of the general populace) a long time ago. The only reason they have power right now is due to gerrymandering and very specific rules that work in their favor.
But yes, this could ruin that as well.