I agree. That was an additional detail that I did not cover, as I wanted to keep it relatively simple. I expect that the anti-Netanyahu Jewish voters are unlikely to switch to voting Trump, given that the latter is firmly and openly pro-genocide.
What, specifically, did I say that you disagree with?
To be clear, at no point was I trying to justify any actions. My only goal was to explain the strategic path that would lead to it. And of course there are additional nuances, which I alluded to at the end.
Besides, a winning strategy is not an indicator of ethics.
It’s a numbers game. There are WAY more Jewish people in the US than there are Arabs (~7.5 vs 3.5 million, according to a quick Google search).
Strategically, those Jewish voters are also more likely to switch to a Republican vote than the Arabs, regardless. It would take 2 Arabs (or any other Democratic voter) sitting out to counter a single Democratic voter switching to a Republican vote.
Granted, none of this accounts for voter locations (because only the 7 swing states matter), voter enthusiasm, claims of national security, or (most importantly of all) ethics.
The difference is that with Biden, it was something new and recent. Trump’s been like that for decades at least. It’s hard to say that it’s because of his age, but that doesn’t change the end result.
They both end at noon on January 20, 2025. In such a scenario, it is likely - but not guaranteed - that both would be vacant. At that point, it would go to the (new) speaker of the House
No. That’s not how the system works at all.
Short of a violent coup, the president’s term ends at noon on January 20, 2025. At that point, there is simply a vacancy in the presidency. It would then be filled according to the line of succession (VP, speaker of the House, etc)
Don’t bother pleading not guilty unless you have an attorney. It grants you (your attorney) time to negotiate with prosecutors to plead guilty to a lesser charge or similar. But an expired license is about the lowest charge you can get.
Traffic court is very routine. People get up, hear the charge, mostly plead guilty/no contest, hear their sentence (usually a fine, probably under $200 depending), and get pointed to where they can pay. You negotiate payment terms at the later office.
It will help to show how you’re going to address the original issue. Even just having an appointment at the DMV, which you can probably book online.
The bigger thing is to look like you put effort into your appearance. Everything clean, no wrinkles, etc. Dress as nice as you can within that. Think whatever you would wear to a job interview.
You will probably (and should) be dressed better than most of the people there. It does get noticed, and will help you out.
There’s a certain point where they become abandoned property, and you can just do with them whatever you want. My guess is that it’s some point after the existing contract runs out, plus 30/90/365 days or whatever. Possibly requiring a court order, public notice, or something else. This will depend entirely on your jurisdiction’s laws on abandoned property.
This sounds great, until you realize that some brands don’t believe there is such a thing as bad publicity. Given the opportunity, they would eagerly buy naming rights. Can you imagine how thrilled some ad exec would be to hear everyone saying Budweiser right now instead of Milton?
Yes, and Harris by 1.7 (as it shows currently) is still within the margin of error. Assuming a 3% margin of error (common, but I didn’t look at the details for any of these polls), anything from Harris by 4.7 to Trump by 1.3 is perfectly in line with predictions.
In human terms, Harris has a very narrow lead, which could easily disappear when people actually go to the polls.
Not to take away from the joke or the implication, but I’m pretty sure the info is useless now. Just like knowing about Silk Road.
That said, I have no idea what value they could get from having an answer.
538 is not a reliable source since Nate Silver left. He’s written about why, but that’s not the point here.
Michigan and Wisconsin are still very much up in the air. Most polls have them within the margin of error. That means they could very easily turn out red, even without anything being wrong with the polling method. The other states are even closer.
It’s a terrifyingly close election, and even the smallest influence could change the result. What does the weather look like on election day? How did your portfolio do the day before? How long are the lines?
These could alter the course of history, even if we ignore things like more hurricanes in swing states.
Harris still has a slight edge, but it’s barely above 50/50. Get out and vote (even in a safe red/blue state), vote the whole ballot, and do whatever you can to get others to vote as well. Ideally, vote early so nothing can interfere at the last minute.
I feel like you’re downplaying the part about it being amplified for profit, and overemphasizing the part about it being genetic.
“If you can convince the lowest white man he’s better than the best colored man, he won’t notice you’re picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he’ll empty his pockets for you.”
That describes a large part of our entire society for the past 50 years. As we’ve noticed our pockets being picked, they’ve had to up the distractions.
The weird thing about this claim is that these aren’t deal breakers. It’s possible to get insurance for exotics like McLaren or Bugatti (although no idea if GEICO does those); it just costs a lot.
I’d really like to hear more about those underwriting standards.
I once heard it described as a “3 day relationship between a 13-year-old and a 16-year-old that left 6 people dead”
Presumably, “other places” refers to other insurance companies. IOW, GEICO is (allegedly) denying them coverage. OP is hoping that Allstate, Progressive, etc will also deny coverage.
My point is that every company is a tech company.
The most likely scenario is that both the presidency and vice presidency would be vacant. That means it would go to the speaker of the House, most likely to still be Mike Johnson.
But if Democrats have an unexpectedly good result, they could control the House and elect a new speaker. Similarly, Republicans could replace Johnson with someone else.