• beardown@lemm.ee
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    10 months ago

    If Trump is not the nominee, or if he is judicially removed from the ballot, then he will still run as a write-in candidate.

    And even if he doesn’t run a write-in campaign, plenty of his supporters will write him in anyway

    And even if he would get struck by lightning and pass away prior to November, his supporters would likely just write in Don Jr or Vivek or someone similar.

    Under no circumstances is Nikki Haley ever getting even 80% of Trump supporters to vote for her in November. And if she can’t get that, then there is no way she can beat Biden. A Nikki Haley victory in 2024 is not plausible

    • themeatbridge@lemmy.world
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      10 months ago

      Biden could also die before the election. He’s no spring chicken. Then maybe we get Haley vs Harris? Or some other dems jump into the primary race.

    • Zaktor@sopuli.xyz
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      10 months ago

      or if he is judicially removed from the ballot, then he will still run as a write-in candidate.

      He’s being removed from the ballot in states because they consider him ineligible to be president. That’s not something that gets solved by a write-in.

      • thesporkeffect@lemmy.world
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        10 months ago

        That doesn’t change the fact that his supporters will write him in even if he is found dead on the shitter