I don’t think Trump could pass McDonald’s background check, being a convicted felon

So the fact that Republicans accused Democrats of aborting babies after they’re born is just more projection?

Good for them. Sorry to say they are in line behind many others to get paid.

Sure, you can refuse an exit poll. But, they are surprisingly accurate.

No time for 60 Minutes though

But, real data is used. There is not a turn out model of past elections. This is real people and real numbers being my point.

Every time you vote, your name is checked off on precinct rolls. There’s no guessing on who has voted. Quite handy when it comes to GOTV

This is early voting, not really a poll. People are interviewed upon exiting the polls and that data set is linked to the registration data for the precinct. So, there is no data model applied as there is in the polls you are familiar with.

Always good to start your day with some good news.

2 - 1, wow

I do think it’s a good sign that Harris is still hitting Arizona and Georgia two weeks out. The Blue Wall must be holding

"I’ve got no cognitive problem. I have no cognitive… There’s no cognitive problem… Got no cognitive.”

— Donald Trump, at a Pennsylvania rally.

Then in that case it wouldn’t be technically against federal election law as I understand it. Offering money or the chance of money to register to vote is the key to being illegal.

That’s a good one.

Around central Florida we remember the Arnold Palmer Hospital for Children. Kind of a Mayo Clinic but for kids. Then there’s the Arnold and Winnie Palmer Hospital for Women just around the corner from there…

An Unhappy Meal

I’m at a loss for words. This is such a weird story. Tim Walz is right. They are just weird. And creepy.

If you have to be a registered voter to sign the petition, you’re not paying for someone to register.

“The unusual activity logs, for instance, showed a canvasser who was marked by GPS as sitting at a Guayo’s On the Trail restaurant half a mile away from the doors he was supposedly hitting in Globe, Arizona. Another canvasser was recorded marking voters as “not home” two blocks away from that apartment.”

They aren’t doing it because they believe in Trump or even musk. They are doing it because they’re getting paid.

Hmm hmm

Federal law makes it a crime to pay someone to register to vote.

Musk’s scheme is to offer an incentive for signing his right wing petitions - presumably to collect names to be used for GOTV.

While he is requiring that someone has to be registered to vote to be eligible, his legal argument would be that he isn’t paying anyone to actually register - just paying already registered voters to sign his petition. Rather than federal election law, the issue may rest on what PA state law says about private raffles and lotteries.

It could certainly be litigated, but there is probably enough grey area for Musk to get away with it.

But the idea that he is handing out money to collect names of people who are already very likely to vote for Trump doesn’t really suggest that Musk’s huge investment in his pro-Trump GOTV effort is likely to show much success.

I’m sure he’ll be able to pay the fine or post bail or pay an attorney or…

There’s nothing you can do to him that he can’t afford.

Pro Tip: One thing about spanking a child having a hissy fit, they learn they seldom pay off.:

My takeaway is doing something about it before the election is probably a mistake. It has to do with reality, not values.