Presiding over an unhappy nation makes reelection hard for any president. But running against Trump makes it easier for Biden.

Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.

      • doctorcrimson@lemmy.today
        8·
        1 year ago

        Idk, if the GOP collapses and all the rural dumbasses (or rather their children) learn critical thinking over the next 30 years to form some new age progressive movement then in that case Dems would become the bad guys. Definitely vote DNC this election tho, theres too damn much at stake to be picky.

        • Alien Nathan Edward@lemm.ee
          41·
          1 year ago

          Nobody’s saying vote democrat for the rest of your life, they’re saying to vote for the rest of your life. The fact is, Trump won one of the lowest turnout elections of our lifetime, and encouraging low turnout was part of his strategy to win. We know that Trump targeted likely dem voters with messaging campaigns saying things like “she’s got this in the bag, don’t bother” and “they’re all the same anyway”. Voting is how we spite the powerful regardless of what party they affiliate with.

          • doctorcrimson@lemmy.today
            11·
            1 year ago

            Not very true statistically to say DNC candidates are more likely to win with higher turnout. While data does show that DNC voters overall are more likely to sit elections out due to lower partisan loyalty than Republicans, there is a big misconception that voter turnout benefits Democrats when historically there hasn’t been any consistent correlation in the past 70 years. This view is likely caused by the fact that voting ease of access is a partisan stance upheld by the DNC.

            I don’t remember my sources, you’ll have to either take my word for it or disagree and move along. You have the right to fact check this but not any obligation.

    • teamevil@lemmy.world
      222·
      1 year ago

      I’m voting and I’m doing it in Florida…I may not win but I’m cancelling one Fascist vote.