politics @lemmy.world · 4 months ago

If Polling Error Matches 2016 and 2020, Trump Is Ahead In 2024

www.realclearpolitics.com

If Polling Error Matches 2016 and 2020, Trump Is Ahead In 2024

www.realclearpolitics.com

ccunning@lemmy.world to

politics @lemmy.world · 4 months ago

realclearpolitics.com

www.realclearpolitics.com

Three caution points for Democrats…

Trump wins if the difference between the polls at this point & the result matches what we saw in 2016 or 2020.
Trump’s more popular now than at this pt in 2016 or 2020.
Dems don’t say they’re more likely to vote now than in May

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ccunning@lemmy.worldOP
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4 months ago
Some folks are motivated by good news and momentum

Some folks are motivated by fear and uncertainty

Just covering all the bases.

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