I mean, they can be useful to a degree. Seeing a race polling at 60/40 means something different than one at 51/49.
But there’s a plethora of one-offs that go far astray just to get attention. Iowa going to Harris by 5-pts. Trump winning NY and California. Other silly bullshit.
As a general rule, better to take the average of polls than any single one. And to consider to margin of error, rather than accepting a guy with a 1% advantage is the default winner
I mean, they can be useful to a degree. Seeing a race polling at 60/40 means something different than one at 51/49.
But there’s a plethora of one-offs that go far astray just to get attention. Iowa going to Harris by 5-pts. Trump winning NY and California. Other silly bullshit.
As a general rule, better to take the average of polls than any single one. And to consider to margin of error, rather than accepting a guy with a 1% advantage is the default winner