T3CHT

Statistics, anyone?

If we’re a simple ‘normal’ population, your wife’s idea holds; there should be 1 in 1000 athlete in every 1000 people. to get a 1 in 1000 athletic performance with a 50% confidence you need only take 693 samples. So if many thousands have played, you’d expect to have seen peak performance.

But we aren’t distributed like that. Z score analysis of a measurable sport indicates a known top athlete like Usain Bolt is in the order of 5 standard deviations from the norm (depending what we consider the norm data set). That’s more like 1 in a million to one in 10 million to get a Bolt. Which implies millions need to try (and train) to get a Bolt level performance (3 humans in that tier so far, implies between 3 & 30 million have tried). So a Bolt seems to be reaching human limits, reinforcing the wife position position for that sport - we are approaching the human limit.

But wait - that is a popular sport, with a single simple measure. If there were multiple relevant independent measures (say hitting and pitching, or running and throwing), even just 2, the odds become astronomical of finding the best. A dual 1 in 1000 is a 1 in a million. A dual z=5 athlete is 1 in 12 trillion.

So the implication is that for more complex sports where multiple attributes apply, it is much more likely we have not yet seen peak human capabilities. It’s also much harder to measure and recognize when we do - so props to the legendary players, and keep searching for them. We won’t know how good they really were until we sample (play) the sport for hundreds or thousands of years. Finding peak is incredibly lucky/unlikely for our most popular complex sports.

You’re right. I think the advice stands, but it’s a rougher position.

You’re getting good advice here, especially @Doomsider@lemmy.world

2 months isn’t that long and you should keep your head up and keep trying. Discouragement and lack of effort are the enemy.

I would add, consider your target industries. Different industries have different cycles and levels of available positions. If you’re mostly looking in retail, this might not be the right economy or time of year, etc. One industry that usually has high demand and might overlap with psychology is health care. Assisted living, home health care, and many related non-medical care environments have consistent staffing challenges and don’t require specific degrees in nursing or medical, etc. I paid my way through college that way and learned a lot of life lessons, including the reasons that work isn’t for everyone. YMMV

There are probably some other under employed unglamorous jobs in your area if you look with fresh eyes. And as others said, volunteering some free time could be a win win, doing stuff keeps the spirit up and being involved creates opportunities.

End of life is not a plan, and not a plan to suggest to others. Get some help, and stop offering such advice.

Not quite. Dark forest says it’s dangerous out there, so everyone else is quiet. Not that we’re dangerous, but that we’re at risk by being noisy.

We pose no real threat to any other civilization, we can’t get to them.

It’s possible we’re being avoided because we’re loathsome in some way or various ways, but that’s not dark forest.

It’s also possible we pose a risk we don’t understand (disease, culture, loudness) so we’re avoided / quarantined, but that is also not dark forest.

More like Ostracized Planet.

Do you think it’s poor branding in Maduro’s part, or branding that got applied to him for other purposes?

How do you see the impact of the oil resources impacting this as compared to Peru or El Salvador?

Turns out this is also the answer to the Fermi paradox. We’re quarantined.

You should know the origin, and surprise - it’s Latin!

Per wikipedia: "The actual origin is unknown, but one of the first appearances of the word was in a second-century work by Roman physician Serenus Sammonicus… who in chapter 52 prescribed that malaria sufferers wear an amulet containing Abracadabra written in the form of a triangle.[12][13]

The power of the amulet, he claimed, makes lethal diseases go away."

I remember, surprisingly, wondering wtf. "It was just a garish choice, in case somebody out there liked ugly bright red and yellow.

The ‘Fluorescent’ theme was also pretty ugly, but it didn’t have a catchy name, so I’ve never heard anything about it."

The hero we need.

Too bad we do.

See also: ranker.com https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ranker

We have lots of rules about drone flight now (at least here in the US) - but also no consensus method of enforcement.

It’s bizarre, and must be temporary. It’s like having speed limits but no method in place for pulling people over.

This seems like the most relevant fact that most folks dont know. Games industry is WAY bigger than streaming. Digital media companies know this, and want to get a piece of the market.

• In 2022, the global gaming industry generated an estimated $184.4 billion.

• In 2022, the global recorded music industry generated $26.2 billion.

• In 2022, the global movie industry generated $26 billion in box office revenue.

https://www.forbes.com/councils/forbesagencycouncil/2023/11/17/the-gaming-industry-a-behemoth-with-unprecedented-global-reach/

@pluralistic hangs out on Masto and shares his weekly posts and updates.

And he’s right. Corporations enshittified the internet.

Precision and volume are the key metrics. They have precision here, but it looks like they won’t get volume.

“E-beam lithography machines cannot produce chips at a large scale like Dutch company ASML’s DUV and EUV lithography systems, but they excel in the testing stage of production, offering high-precision circuit patterning and design flexibility. Priced lower than imported machines, Xizhi can pattern circuit lines as narrow as 8 nanometres, with a positioning accuracy of 0.6 nanometres – matching international standards.”