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  • 3 Posts
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Joined 2 年前
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Cake day: 2023年3月14日

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  • Many Republicans were also not convinced about their candidate’s performance in the debate in Philadelphia. Some 53% of Republican voters in the poll said Trump won the debate, compared to 91% of Democrats who said she was the victor. Among Republicans, 31% said no one won and 14% said Harris got the better of Trump.

    I get partisanship is bad, but I’m glad 9 out of 10 Democrats and 1 of 7 Republicans have their head screwed on correctly. Did a large portion of viewers watch it with the volume on mute?







  • The highlight for me for the whole debate was not Trump’s pet-eating outburst but the perfect setup and execution Harris did to bait him into that unhinged rant instead of talking about immigration.

    She “invites” people to go to Trump rallies. She follows up the point about people leaving rallies early with a note along the lines of: you’re about to watch Trump not talk about you. Sure enough, he fell into the trap, and Trump talked about what he cared about most at that moment.



  • Harris’ set up was the perfect troll:

    I’m going to actually do something really unusual and I’m going to invite you to attend one of Donald Trump’s rallies because it’s a really interesting thing to watch. You will see during the course of his rallies he talks about fictional characters like Hannibal Lecter. He will talk about windmills cause cancer. And what you will also notice is that people start leaving his rallies early out of exhaustion and boredom. And I will tell you the one thing you will not hear him talk about is you.

    Trump nods along right until the moment the words touch his nerves.


  • “We are going to have the best economy, she is Joe Biden and we had the highest inflation we’ve ever seen” - Trump

    “Let’s compare your economic plan with mine, we’re giving tax breaks to small business.”

    Also, going back to the previous point that Trump lied about several times, Harris nailing the rebuff of Trump’s lies that usually just go unchecked on painting Harris as a person that wants to steal guns. Very good.

    Also also, Trump’s entire closing statement stated one positive thing he did (we rebuilt our military) and the rest of the time was saying why Harris was bad. Harris positioned herself well here.


  • The game is tough for Democrats, I don’t think this gets nearly enough attention, but pretty much they have to win all the close races, and flip a couple more. Current Projections show 48(D+I)/2(Tossup)/50®.

    The longshot potential flips are:

    • everyone’s favorite real human Ted Cruz of Texas by Collin Allred
    • Rick Scott of Florida by Debbie Mucarsel-Powell

    About 20%, 30% chance according to TheHill. A lot of work will be needed to unseat those GOP powerhouses.

    Democratic held seats that have various likelihood to flip to Republican are:

    • Jon Tester of Montana to Tim Sheehy,
    • Elissa Slotkin of Michigan to Mike Rogers,
    • Jacky Rosen of Nevada to Sam Brown,
    • Bob Casey of Pennsylvania to Dave McCormick,
    • Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin to Eric Hovde, and
    • Sherrod Brown of Ohio to Bernie Moreno.

    A lot more work will also be needed to keep all these seats. And young people are going to have to look to the bigger picture, show up in droves if they want to prove any poll wrong.




  • What the… this is so infuriating to a railfan. It’s like they are trying to attach a 2x viewer multiplier by putting Elon-related keyword in it when Tesla has so little to do with it.

    It’s not a Tesla train, nor a battery from Tesla, nor operated by Tesla, not even a new route (but granted an expanded timetable)

    I wish media hyped trains like this in general and not limited to implicitly attributing it to Musk (who made hyperloop specifically to distract from High Speed Rail, mind you)… “GIGA TRAIN brings commuters to work”, “Hyper train first electric regional service in California - you won’t believe the capacity!”