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Cake day: December 14th, 2024

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  • This whole thing still has me scratching my head.

    Such a large portion of the West gets a raging boner about coming to Israel’s aide. I get it from the strange doomsday cult belief where something about Israel at war triggers the rapture or some shit. But I don’t really believe that’s what the western world leaders actually believe.

    Trump has his own reality, and only a divine entity understands what’s going on in the space between his ears.

    Ignoring Trump and the doomsday cult thing, the other things I can think of:

    1. US and Europe want an established western sympathizing military power in the middle-east. Some sort of remnant of the Cold war.

    2. US and Europe want a military western sympathizing military power with close proximity to the Suez Canal and red Sea, as well as the Mediterranean.

    3. The “Sampson Option” that Israel has is completely legitimate and Israel is ready to obliterate everyone if they don’t get their way.

    4. There’s some economic or strategic value the West won’t acknowledge.

    Even with all that, attack Iran? Iran is not remotely similar to Iraq. Iran will put up much more of a fight. It also won’t be a “forever war” like fascists dream about.









  • I didn’t call it, but there’s nothing quite like a war to distract the population from rampant decline at home.

    This one is weird though, Iran is allied with Russia. Israel is allied with the US. Historically, this made sense.

    But Trump and Putin playing war together would benefit both of them. It allows Putin to pull out of Ukraine because “Iran provided us much help and they need us now.” And it allows Russia to maintain the war economy. It benefits Trump because he wants to play war.

    Neither leader would have any actual skin in the game, it’s just people’s lives that would never contribute in another meaningful way to their power.

    I don’t like this. This is feeling more 1984 than 1984.

    Edit: I like this even worse after I read the specifics of the KC-135R and KC-46A. Each can carry about 200,000 lbs of additional fuel. A single F-15E can hold 13,000 lbs internally. 30 KC-135Rs can refuel an entire F-15E 460 times. Israel has 7 KC-130H (60,000lbs) and 7 Boeing 707s (which is what the KC-135 was based on). This isn’t just escalation, this is staging for invasion.






  • peoplebeproblems@midwest.socialtoWorld News@lemmy.worldIran Strikes Back
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    7 days ago

    From all available intelligence, no. They clearly have a nuclear weapons program (which are insanely huge to begin with) but there has never been a measured test, and no evidence of enriched uranium at a high enough purity to be weaponized.

    It’s insanely hard work to created weaponized enriched uranium. With the sanctions Iran has had for decades it would be next to impossible for them to get all the stuff they need to create it on their own.