• 2 Posts
  • 144 Comments
Joined 9 months ago
cake
Cake day: February 22nd, 2024

help-circle















  • credo@lemmy.worldOPtopolitics @lemmy.worldTrump Takes Lead in 538 Simulations
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    3
    arrow-down
    7
    ·
    edit-2
    28 days ago

    I’ve seen the reports. I highly doubt any of the arm chair statisticians (who have never taken a day of mathematical or proof-level stats) have a clue what they are talking about. The polls’ histories and lean are factored into 538’s averages. They are not new to this.

    And how many polls are left leaning? The graph posted a couple of days ago on midwest claims 35% are right leaning, and a correlation with the drop in support for Harris. What it doesn’t say is the proportion of democratic polls, and there really isn’t a correlation over the length of history shown.

    Hard to make informed decisions when half the information is hidden. (But arm chair statisticians don’t recognize the issue do they?)






  • • Despite sanctions, Russia adapts by engaging with strategic partners like China to circumvent restrictions.

    • China has replaced Western nations as a major supplier of goods to Russia, with trade between the two reaching $240 billion in 2023. In 2021, the total trade between the two countries was approximately $147 billion.

    • Specific exports from China to Russia include CNC machines, semiconductors, microelectronics, ball bearings, nitrocellulose, drones, and construction equipment.

    • The Sino-Russian relationship has deepened, with both nations criticizing the U.S. and increasing their cooperation.

    Bottom line: China don’t care. But we knew this already.