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Cake day: August 1st, 2023

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  • If your news source was leading you to believe a narrative that “Palestine elected a government that attempted to commit genocide against the Jews and drive them out of Israel” then you should question the lack of context and facts that your news source is providing.

    You should blame NPR for this, and the fact that you don’t shows that you haven’t learned your lesson and you will fall for it again.





  • That really comes down to what you mean by “war” and “won”.

    We won the Korean war by achieving our strategic objectives- we bombed NK back to the stone age, and effectively isolated them from the rest of the world.

    Our wars in Central America achieved their objectives- US trained death squads raped and murdered the local populations into submission; US corporations have been free to dominate ever since.

    On the list of 80+ countries we have invaded since WWII, I would say well over half of these misadventures have achieved their strategic objectives.


  • What makes you question the story?

    Certainly the Trump administration had been lying about it losses, and they are releasing many face-saving coverup stories. It would be foolish to give them the benefit of the doubt.

    But the Kuwaiti friendly fire incident actually has lots of evidence to back it up. You can watch video of the “dogfight”- a Kuwaiti jet is clearly attacking US jet at very close range. The US jet appears to be surprised, as they fail to deploy most counter-measures.




  • Data from 2025 is too old. You have to remember that 18-21 voters were children during Trump’s first presidency, and their political reality was defined by Covid.

    They were not happy with the Biden administration, and for good reasons, so they reacted by leaning R. Now they are learning just how deeply depraved and disfunctional the Republican party is. I believe they will be radicalized into lifelong anti-Republican voters.

    Check out this CNN poll from a few days ago.

    A follow‑up CNN/SSRS poll conducted from March 26 to March 30 found Trump’s approval among 18‑ to 34‑year‑olds had fallen to just 20 percent, while disapproval increased to 80 percent, putting his net approval rating among young adults at minus 60

    Donald Trump’s Approval Rating Implodes With Gen Z - Newsweek






  • Are you sure you aren’t underestimating the huge volume of demand that needs to be destroyed? I believe something like 20%-25% of demand needs to be destroyed, in both the crude and LNG markets.

    The last time demand was 20% lower than baseline was during the two worst months of Covid, when the majority of people were staying inside their home

    So the question is: how high does the price of oil have to get in order to force people to consume like they did under the worst of Covid?

    I’m no economist, but my gut feeling says it will be sustained significantly higher than $160/barrel.


  • They shrugged it off when churches were damaged in Gaza, why would this be any different?

    There’s this city in the West Bank called Bethlehem, I guess some famous dude was born there. The churches in Bethlehem weren’t able to have Christmas celebrations for two years due to Israel’s genocide.

    How did evangelicals respond? Polling says 65% support Israel’s military action in Gaza, even after two years of indiscriminate bombing, death marches, forced starvation, and torture camps.


  • PLEASE do not nominate another candidate with a vagina

    It’s so frustrating when well-meaning people have this blatantly sexist take.

    The problem with Hillary and Kamala was not their vaginas, it was their policies.

    If you actually believe that the US is too sexist to elect a woman, then you need to explain the election of Claudia Sheinbaum in Mexico. By every statistic (rape, domestic violence, etc), Mexico is a more sexist nation than the US, yet they overwhelmingly elected a woman.




  • If you’re really into Catholic lore and mythology, then yes, the Pope’s word holds a lot of weight. They believe in papal infallibility, which means that when the Pope meets certain very specific criteria, he is literally speaking for God and is thus perfect and unquestionable.

    Regular normie Catholics? They believe in the Pope the same way they believe in the Bible: it is the true word of God, but it’s too much of a bother to actually read it. They’re never reading papal edicts, they’re just reading news headlines about the pope like everyone else.