Possibilities are all possible outcomes of a certain scenario. With the example of a coin toss, it’s heads or tails. However, these are dependent on your definition of what you want to observe. For example, at a dice roll, you could define the possibilities as:

• any number less than 5 is rolled
• a 5 is rolled
• a 6 is rolled

Probabilities are attached to possibilities. They define how likely an outcome is. For example, in an ideal coin toss heads and tails have a probabilitiy of 0.5 (or 50%) each.

With my 2nd example, the probabilities would be:

• any number less than 5 is rolled: 4/6 (or 2/3 or 0.666… or 66.666…%)
• a 5 is rolled (1/6 or 0.1666… or 16.666…%)
• a 6 is rolled (1/6 or 0.1666… or 16.666…%)

All probabilities must add up to 1.0 (or 100%), otherwise your possibilities overlap, which is generally not something you want.

Plausibility is a bit more tricky, as it also depends on your definition, namely a cutoff point. You could see the cutoff point as a limit of how much you want to risk. I’ll only examine the example for the coin toss for that. Say you will toss a coin 100 times. This would mean there are 2¹⁰⁰ possibilities, but we will examine only 2 for this matter:

• you will get 100 times tails
• you will get as many tails as heads

Let’s say the cutoff point is 0.01, i.e. 1%. This would make the first possibility improbable, as 1/(2¹⁰⁰) is far lower than 0.01. The second possibility is 0.5, which is greater than 0.01, and therefore probable.

But do you also sometimes leave out AI for steps the AI often does for you, like the conceptualisation or the implementation? Would it be possible for you to do these steps as efficiently as before the use of AI? Would you be able to spot the mistakes the AI makes in these steps, even months or years along those lines?

The main issue I have with AI being used in tasks is that it deprives you from using logic by applying it to real life scenarios, the thing we excel at. It would be better to use AI in the opposite direction you are currently use it as: develop methods to view the works critically. After all, if there is one thing a lot of people are bad at, it’s thorough critical thinking. We just suck at knowing of all edge cases and how we test for them.

Let the AI come up with unit tests, let it be the one that questions your work, in order to get a better perspective on it.

I haven’t watched the video yet, but I think TADC has unwillingly joined the “kids” content mill, which is probably what might be referenced.

Even Gooseworx dislikes how those content mill channels have abused TADC’s popularity for their own profit while neither she nor Glitch can do much about it.

Funnily enough, Signal has circumvented the issue by marking their chat window as DRM content, making it invisible to Recall.

I do agree that password managers are generally more secure than memorable passwords, however, they also pose he Achilles heel of a system, as one password unlocks all. That is why 2FA tops everything, as even with a weak password, as a hacker would need to crack an OTP to gain access, or convince the one holding the 2nd device to unlock the account for them.

However I do want to contest the claim that all user-friendly passwords are inherently unsafe. The Electronic Frontier Foundation did a Deep Dive on randomly generated passphrases and shows how secure the system is by entropy alone.

I’m not the one who you asked, but I’d still give some feedback of my own. Musk as a person is a difficult character. I would even go as far as calling him narcissistic.

• He got thrown out of PayPal for his incessant micromanagement and disruptions to the flow of the company
• he bought himself into Tesla to replace the CEO with himself
• he tends to depict himself as one of the greatest tech geniuses out there, yet often the plans he presents to the public are often poorly thought out and serve no other purpose than to show his “talents”
• when his proposal to build a tiny submarine for the Than Luang cave rescue was shot down and a British diver was chosen instead he resorted to call the diver a “pedo guy”
• his latest attempts in politics, especially concerning DOGE feel completely half baked and, again, how he presents himself in his position feels more like an ego trip than something more reasonable
• he publicly had talks with the controversial German political party “Alternative für Deutschland”, which are currently legally considered “assured right-wing extremists” and have had a history of having Nazis and Nazi sympathisers in their ranks

I generally can’t trust someone who seems to put himself first at everything to handle anything related to security when the role allows him to exploit it for his own gains. And I do not trust someone who supports political groups known for trying to oppress minorities to defend actual rights for free speech.

The question is whether this actually is E2EE, as it’s easy to fake by using a man in the middle attack and hard to prove. The only real way to prove it for sure is to run a third party security audit, like Signal does.

Taking down the old system doesn’t inspire confidence either, as this downtime could easily been used to interrupt old conversations in order to implement a way to decrypt the messages on the servers before passing it on to the actual recipient, as all keys would have to be re-issued.

Honestly, Telegramm always seemed to me a bit shifty since I learnt E2EE for chats was opt-in.

You are forgetting targeted attacks. A blind attack would pretty much not have much of an effect indeed, however if the attacker knows the machine, then it’s easy for the attackers to exploit these vulnerability if left “out in the open”, and cause havoc, possibly create a lot of damages or leech informations pumped into those machines via old Windows installations.

I can also recommend Pimsleur. A bit more expensive, but features more traditional style courses, while offering a lot of what Duolingo has. Plus actual topics with grammar, not just random words!

My guess is that the wires/tracks could get stuck in sewage, and it might make it harder to examine the floor better due to how small the drone might be.

I had the idea of a monorail system, but I guess it would have a similar issue in case the surface the rail was attached to got faulty. Might’ve been cool looking though.

While that is true, logging into your OS can also be done via 2FA, namely via a smartcard. It’d offer a similar protection to it, if not better.

Honestly, due to how it’s a paid app, I don’t see any viable mass adoption. Possibly great for a professional/corporate setting, but considering that Signal is free and some people already have a hard time leaving WhatsApp, it’d be hard to convince anyone to pay for a messaging app.

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“working in the LLM server farms makes you wish for a nuclear winter.”

I mean, that’s the empiric method. Often theories are easier proven by showing the impossibility of how the inverse of a theory is true, because it is easier to prove a theory via failure to disprove it than to directly prove it. Thus disproving (or failing to disprove) free will is most likely easier than directly proving free will.

Ah, seems to be right, my bad.

Also, to correct myself a bit more: it was Europe’s biggest datacenter.

If memory serves right, one of Germany’s datacenters went up in flames a few years ago because they had wooden flooring and no adequate fire suppression systems.

EDIT: it was in France, and Europe’s biggest datacenter.

While I agree that dd can be easily used, it still is a dumb command (as in its only purpose is to write and nothing else), which can result in some issues regarding validating the integrity of the installation, at least for a beginner.

Furthermore, it can be disastrous if you don’t pay attention to what you type in, as it will happily overwrite anything you type in.

Also, I don’t think that dd alone should be used as a backup, as it might result in inconsistent backups. The best simple backup system, no matter whether you are a beginner or an expert, are snapshots, and maybe using dd to backup those to an external drive to be sure.

I agree that once learning how to use dd programs like BalenaEtcher sort of become more clutter than anything else.

Still, something I would always prefer over dd is Ventoy, simply because not only allows me to easily make an ISO bootable, but allow multiple ISOs to be easily bootable on the same USB stick. I hope it never becomes abandonware.