slazer2au@lemmy.world to Showerthoughts@lemmy.worldEnglish · edit-22 days agoIf XCOM didn't exist before AI slop, people would assume missing 3 90% shots in a row was due to AI generated code not just how probability works.message-squaremessage-square52linkfedilinkarrow-up1285arrow-down127
arrow-up1258arrow-down1message-squareIf XCOM didn't exist before AI slop, people would assume missing 3 90% shots in a row was due to AI generated code not just how probability works.slazer2au@lemmy.world to Showerthoughts@lemmy.worldEnglish · edit-22 days agomessage-square52linkfedilink
minus-squareStarDreamer@lemmy.blahaj.zonelinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up12·edit-22 days agoIIRC it’s a variation of the “double random number” system that Fire Emblem uses: https://serenesforest.net/general/true-hit/ https://fireemblemwiki.org/wiki/True_hit tl;dr humans are bad at percentages, so the displayed percentage is actually not the true accuracy, but a skewed number that “feels” more accurate
minus-squareLurkingLuddite@piefed.sociallinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5·2 days agoIt’s definitely not accurate, though. Sure, any one roll can screw you over if it’s not 100%, but xcom is literally known for having shitty actual percentages over many rolls even while it’s showing 90%+.
minus-squareStarDreamer@lemmy.blahaj.zonelinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up5·edit-22 days agoI’m pretty sure that’s by design. By spoofing the real accuracy, you get more dramatic moments which is good for engagement. It’s the same as GMs in tabletop games that fudge rice rolls sometimes.
IIRC it’s a variation of the “double random number” system that Fire Emblem uses:
https://serenesforest.net/general/true-hit/
https://fireemblemwiki.org/wiki/True_hit
tl;dr humans are bad at percentages, so the displayed percentage is actually not the true accuracy, but a skewed number that “feels” more accurate
It’s definitely not accurate, though. Sure, any one roll can screw you over if it’s not 100%, but xcom is literally known for having shitty actual percentages over many rolls even while it’s showing 90%+.
I’m pretty sure that’s by design. By spoofing the real accuracy, you get more dramatic moments which is good for engagement.
It’s the same as GMs in tabletop games that fudge rice rolls sometimes.